Context: I'm a 24 year old male, living in a major U.S. city of ~1.3 million people. The dating app I used for this data was Bumble.
So, I swiped right indiscriminately on 100 profiles and then recorded the match rate. In the following days, I did it a several more times and got similar match rates, which averaged about 3.5%, meaning for every 100 profiles I swipe right on (keeping in mind I right swiped everyone, without any left swipes) I get about 3.5 matches on average.
Now, for all the matches that I got, there was enough mutual interest for both A) the woman to send me the first message and B) me to respond to it in about 20% of matches. This puts my "conversation" rate at about 0.8%
Given this information, I tried as best I could to approximate about how many of those conversations led to dates (I have deleted and recreated my Bumble profile a couple times over the several months I've been using it, so I couldn't just go back and look) and my best guess would be about 1 in 10 "conversations" leads to a date, so 10%
Now, multiplying my "conversation" rate times the percentage of those conversations that lead to dates (.008 * .1) I get a "date" rate of ~ .0008, or .08%.
Conclusion
Unless my math or my interpretation of the numbers is off, this means that I have to swipe right (using the no-left-swipe strategy) on 1,250 profiles (on average) before landing a single date. I have been on Bumble (periodically) since early April and have set up four first dates through the app within that time, so IMO, that figure seems somewhat accurate.
Of those four dates, two of them resulted in no further contact, one of them led to a second date but nothing further, and the final one led to about 5 more dates, at which point things ended. While I would like to take this number crunching further and come up with a "relationship rate" figure, that hasn't happened yet :) Obviously, it would be an very low number.
Obviously, not all dudes will have numbers like this, but I found this to be pretty insightful. I suppose that dating apps are better as a supplement, instead of being your #1 way of meeting the opposite sex, at least for guys.
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